Welcome to the 2016 IOWA CAUCUS .BIZ website!

For the latest information on the Who, What, Where, When, Why, and How of the Iowa Caucus!   


The 2016 Iowa Caucus!



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         How much money will be spent on the 2016 Iowa Caucus?

We project that the amount of money spent on the  2016 Iowa Caucus will be greater than the amount spent on the 2012 Iowa Caucus, which would be somewhere between $20,000,000 and $30,000,000 in total from both parties participating in the Iowa Caucus.  This is more money than was spent in 2012, but far less than what was spent on the 2008 Iowa Caucus, which was around $51,593,849.00 (See Spending). Part of the reason more money will be spent in 2016 is that both parties will be running for the office of the president, but only the Republican party will have the normal field of 10 to 12 candidates running for office. The Democratic party appears to have only 4 to 6 individuals running for president. This conservitive increase in spending in the State of Iowa is projected based upon the fact that the Iowa Democratic party, which usually holds more intense Caucuses than the Repulbicans, does not have the 10 or more individuals running for office and currently all of the Democratic candidates are from the east coast and will be more focused on a good showing in New Hampshire and not Iowa. The Republicans only spent $17,594,397 in total in the State of Iowa in 2012, using a formula of 1/30 of their total campain budget at the end of the 2012 year.  This is equal to $7.56 per  Iowa citizen over 18 years old, which would be approximately 2,330,344 individuals aged 18 years or older or 2,199,299.60 spent per candidate.

Individual candidate expenditures for the 2016 Iowa Caucus are expected to be around 2 to 3 million per candidate, which is roughly $1.28 per Iowa citizen who will be of age to participate in the Iowa Caucus. This projection is based on the 2012 Iowa Caucus statistics with 8 candidates actively campaigning and spending around $2,199,299.60. This is only an estimate because just a handful of the 8 candidates in Iowa spent over a million dollars on their campaigns. So if the projection holds true, and we have a total from both parties of 14 candidates running for President, we could see around $30,000,000 spent in the state of Iowa for the 'First in the Nation' Caucus. 

The money raised and spent for the Iowa Caucus TV ads alone will probably be around $10,000,000 because some of the candidates are planning on spending most of their physical time in New Hampshire and only running TV ads in Iowa.

U.S. Census

FEC Presidential Reports (Current Election Cycle)

FEC 2012 Year-End Presidental Reports
FEC Summary Reports

University of WI Ad Project
University of Wisconsin

How do the candidates promote themselves in Iowa?

The candidates who visit Iowa are afforded many opportunities to reach out and speak to Iowa Caucus goers.  One of the overlooked avenues to get the attention of Iowa Caucus goers is by talking to the local news sources. This allows the candidate to communicate their views to a significant amount of individuals in that local community without going door-to-door (See Iowa News). One of the main ways that a candidate can get their message out is via Iowa Public Television and by participating on Iowa Press, which has worked for sitting presidents and candidates who have won the Iowa Caucus in the past.  

Have Iowan's shifted voting habits?

Looking at the most recent voting trends, it seems as though Iowa voters are losing momentum in the voting booth and have reached the cap of individuals who are willing to vote in the general elections. The total popluation of the state of Iowa is 3,107,126, which is an increase of 60,257 people from 2010. The total number of voters in the 2010 midterms was 1,133,434 individuals compared to 1,142311 Iowans in 2014, which is only 8,877 more individuals. The 1.4% increase is not reflective of the overall population increase of 2.0%, which is what one would expect to see in the voting booth over the same time period. Although, the more alarming statistic is that 447,640 Iowans who voted in the 2012 election did not vote in 2014 - a potentially frightning trend, if it continues. Even as the Iowan popluation slowly grows, the voting interest seems to be waning.  For the past two decades there had been an increase in voter participation.  In 2004, 1,521,966 Iowans voted. That increased by 24,487 voters in 2008, and increased again in the 2012 presidential election by 43,498 voters for a total of 1,589,951. Unfortunately, this increase each election cycle may be losing its' steam; when looking at the congressional election of 2014, which had a total of 1,142,311 Iowan voters, there was a decrease of 447,640 participants who had voted two years earlier. The question is, will the 2016 presidentail election see a decrease in voters, forcing Iowa to fall in line with other states, which have seen a decrease in the interest to vote? At this point in time, it looks that way.

Iowa Legislature

NPR News

Iowa plays a significant role in the nomination of presidential candidates.

The Caucuses are primarily for the Democratic and Republican parties. In the last 39 years, starting in the 1970s when Iowa moved its' Caucus to be the first Caucus in the Nation, Iowa has become a predictor in identifying the top three candidates from both parties.  Only those candidates who finish in the top half of their party typically move on to campaign strong in other states. In fact, in the past, the Iowa Caucuses have become more of a clearing field in determining which candidates will stay in the race and which candidates will throw in the towel. This would appear to be a more accurate depiction of Iowa's role in the presidential campaigns than in determining which candidate will be nominated by their respective party. Iowa does play a big part in allowing candidates a chance to showcase their political prowess to a fairly middle of the road state.  (See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iowa_caucus.)

Iowa can be a barometer of sorts measuring the nation's state-of-mind because, for the last ten Iowa Caucuses, Iowa has identified the nation's two primary picks for the top runner from both the Democratic and Republican party five times and from just the Democratic party six times.  The importance of Iowa may be more significant to the individual candidates running for president than to their party simply because it is cheaper to campaign in Iowa than in many of the other states entertaining the notion of scheduling their Primaries closer to the Iowa Caucus. A win in an early state that is cheaper to campaign in gives an advantage to those candidates who would normally not have the funds to campaign in a larger state. Larger states will cost the candidates a greater amount of upfront capital to campaign per registered voter. In addition, Iowa's population is clustered into regions within the state, which makes it easier to reach potential audiences. Campaigning in a state like Iowa has advantages over larger states because their media outlets will focus on candidates as though they were celebrities, giving them free press and headline news, whereas other states would continue to cater to local celebrities, athletes, and business leaders, giving them the coverage and headline news, which would overshadow a political campaign candidate.

Iowa and other states of similar size are playing a larger role in close elections because of the electoral college. In 2000, the difference between the winner and loser was only five electoral votes, which means states like Arkansas,  Tennessee, and Iowa can change an election outcome drastically.  (See http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2000/elecpop.htm.)

The Iowa Caucus is more 'traditional' than other caucuses. 

The Iowa Caucus process starts out months before the actual Caucus with assembly hall type meetings where candidates make scheduled visits to particular places in Iowa communities.  Typically, the meetings take place at local high schools, universities, libraries, town halls, coffee shops, hotel conference centers, and other public buildings.  The smaller venues allow the candidates to interact on a more intimate level while the larger venues allow a wider audience to participate as the candidate is able to move freely amongst the public, shaking hands, answering questions, discussing platform issues, and, hopefully, inspiring fund raisers to assist with campaign donations.  Most of the candidates are able to garner quality time with voters because of the small town atmosphere that permeates each meeting.  Iowans tend to have more traditional values and believe that the process of selecting the most qualified candidate for president of the United States is very serious business and every citizen's duty to their country.  Iowans are hospitable to candidates and enjoy engaging others in discussions on political and social issues, and the environment in Iowa has always been safe and inviting for presidential candidates in the 43 years Iowans have been hosting Caucuses.

The 2016 Iowa Caucus will be held in less than a year!

The Iowa Caucus is historically the first in the Nation, and the next Iowa Caucus is just around the corner.  It had originally been set to be held on February 1st, 2016, however, the date may change depending on outside caucus schedules. The two major parties in the state of Iowa, the Democrats and the Republicans, are hopeful that the Caucus kick-off will remain on February 1st, 2016, becuase under state law, Iowa is sanctioned to be the first Caucus held in the Nation, not the first Primary.   (See http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/events.phtml?s=c&f=m.)

Who are the Presidential candidates running in the 2016 Iowa Caucus? 

Presidential Candidates Listed A-Z
(Filed bid with the FEC and formally declared presidential run.)

Democrats (http://www.dnc.org/)

Republicans (http://www.gop.org/)

Official Candidates: Official Candidates:
Hillary Rodham Clinton
-- filed bid on April 13, 2015
Jeb Bush
-- filed bid on June 15, 2015
Martin O'Malley
-- filed bid on May 29, 2015
Ben Carson
-- filed bid on May 4, 2015
Bernie Sanders
-- filed bid on April 30, 2015
Chris Christie
-- filed bid on July 1, 2015
  Ted Cruz
-- filed bid on March 23, 2015
  Carly Fiorina
-- filed bid on May 4, 2015
  Jim Gilmore
-- filed bid on July 29, 2015
  Lindsey Graham
-- filed bid on June 1, 2015
  Mike Huckabee
-- filed bid on May 2, 2015
  John Kasich
-- filed bid on July 23, 2015
  George Pataki
-- filed bid on June 2, 2015
  Rand Paul
-- filed bid on April 8, 2015
  Marco Rubio
-- filed bid on April 13, 2015
  Rick Santorum 
-- filed bid on May 28, 2015
  Donald Trump
-- filed bid on June 22, 2015

The official list is provided by the FEC. A complete list of candidates may be obtained upon
request from the FEC Press Office. 


Additional, unofficial, list sources: 
NY Times



Democrat or Republican?  Liberal or Conservative?  Which are YOU? 

The folks at PoliticalHumor.com devised a quiz to pinpoint your political Id.  Could you be a closet Republican voting as a Democrat?  Or are you a true-blue Democrat?  Is there a chance you're a Democrat in Republican clothing?  Or are you a red-blooded Republican?  Take the quiz and find out!


"We, the People, recognize that we have responsibilities as well as rights; that our destinies are bound together; that a freedom which only asks what's in it for me, a freedom without a commitment to others, a freedom without love or charity or duty or patriotism, is unworthy of our founding ideals, and those who died in their defense."
-  President Barack Obama
(See http://www.brainyquotes.com.)

"The President is merely the most important among a large number of public servants. He should be supported or opposed exactly to the degree which is warranted by his good conduct or bad conduct, his efficiency or inefficiency in rendering loyal, able, and disinterested service to the Nation as a whole. Therefore it is absolutely necessary that there should be full liberty to tell the truth about his acts, and this means that it is exactly necessary to blame him when he does wrong as to praise him when he does right. Any other attitude in an American citizen is both base and servile. To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public. Nothing but the truth should be spoken about him or any one else. But it is even more important to tell the truth, pleasant or unpleasant, about him than about any one else."
- Theodore Roosevelt
(See http://www.brainyquotes.com & http://www.quoteworld.org.)

"A year ago, my approval rating was in the 30s, my nominee for the Supreme Court had just withdrawn, and my Vice President had shot someone. Ahhh, those were the good old days."
- Former President George W. Bush

"The president is really sorry he couldn't be here tonight. ... His book club is meeting."
- Former Vice President Dick Cheney
(See http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/blquotes.htm.)

"I have had other offers. But, frankly, Jay, when you refuse to do nude scenes, it really cuts down on the opportunities. ... I just want to clarify. I have no plans to do a nude scene. I have no intention to do a nude scene. I don't expect to do a nude scene. But I haven't made a Shermanesque statement about it." 
 - Former Vice President Al Gore, after Jay Leno asked if he was entertaining other film offers after the success of An Inconvenient Truth

(See http://politicalhumor.about.com/od/funnyquotes/a/funnyquotes2006.htm.)

"A president's hardest task is not to do what is right, but to know what is right." - Lyndon Johnson

By the end of George Washington's first term, and much to his dismay, two political parties were emerging from the one.  He retired at the end of his second term worn weary from politics, and in his Farwell Address, he urged his countrymen to 'forswear excessive party spirit and geographical distinctions.'
(See http://www.whitehouse.gov/history/presidents/gw1.html.)

Two hundred and ten years later, and Washington's fears have been realized.  Although the two prominent parties, Democratic and Republican, seem to agree more often than disagree on core issues, the parties are very clearly divided on sensitive issues, such as abortion, gay and minority rights, and the mingling of religion and politics.

Theodore Roosevelt was quoted as saying "There are good men and bad men of all nationalities, creeds and colors; and if this world of ours is ever to become what we hope some day it may become, it must be by the general recognition that the man's heart and soul, the man's worth and actions, determine his standing."

Many of us have admired a President's successes, believing we would have done the same if we were in their shoes, and many of us have been disappointed by a President's failures, knowing we would have done better if given the opportunity.  It takes a strong and courageous individual to run for the office of President.  But just what is that elusive trait that one must possess to actually become President?  And do the presidential candidates of 2008 have what it takes?  George Washington's sound advice?  "I hope I shall possess firmness and virtue enough to maintain what I consider the most enviable of all titles, the character of an honest man."

We thank the above official candidates and the following resources:

U.S. Census

University of Wisconsin



Iowa Press

Iowa Legislature

NPR News


The Green Papers
Democratic Website
Republican Website

NY Times



Brainy Quotes
Quote World

The White House





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